What is this?

A new AgendaStats feature to analyze mission data. Look at any new mission for an example.

How does AgendaStats predict outcomes?

Predictions are based primarily on the average EC (expected contribution) of the characters in each mission. The team with the highest average EC is predicted to win the mission. The confidence rating is based on the difference between the two averages: the larger the difference the more predictable the outcome.

Map balance is also factored into EC-based predictions.

How accurate are the predictions?

In the last 30 days AgendaStats has tracked 6138 mercenary PvP missions and made predictions for 3804 (62%) of them. Of those it has been correct 74 percent of the time. All numbers on this page are updated hourly.

Confidence	Accuracy
Slightly Favored	64 percent (1247/1954)
Favored	77 percent (854/1102)
Strongly Favored	82 percent (436/532)
Steamroll	90 percent (195/216)